Published Record
3-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Quentin Johnston NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Quentin Johnston. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 4.1Cleared line 40%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 33.5
Projection 64.3Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Nov 1, 2:05 PM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 2.5
OVER 2.5 -114
Projection4.1
Model win65.1%
No-vig edge+15.1%
Model-implied EV+22.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.6 above line
Market 2.5
PDR 4.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.1 is 1.6 above the 2.5 line.
Model win probability 65.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.1% model win, +15.1% no-vig edge, and +22.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 33.5
OVER 33.5 -113
Projection64.3
Model win79.1%
No-vig edge+29.1%
Model-implied EV+49.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
30.8 above line
Market 33.5
PDR 64.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 64.3 is 30.8 above the 33.5 line.
Model win probability 79.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +29.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 79.1% model win, +29.1% no-vig edge, and +49.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -172
Projection4.2
Model win66.3%
No-vig edge+7.3%
Model-implied EV+4.9%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 35.5
OVER 35.5 -114
Projection66.8
Model win79.6%
No-vig edge+29.6%
Model-implied EV+49.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
31.3 above line
Market 35.5
PDR 66.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 66.8 is 31.3 above the 35.5 line.
Model win probability 79.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +29.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 79.6% model win, +29.6% no-vig edge, and +49.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +132
Projection3.7
Model win38.9%
No-vig edge-1.3%
Model-implied EV-9.7%
No-vig market40.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 35.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection50.2
Model win55.1%
No-vig edge+5.1%
Model-implied EV+3.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | OVER 2.5 | 65.1% | +15.1% | +22.3% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 8 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | OVER 33.5 | 79.1% | +29.1% | +49.0% | WIN · 37 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks | Receiving yards | OVER 35.5 | 79.6% | +29.6% | +49.5% | WIN · 44 receiving yards | Game |