Published Record
1-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Deebo Samuel Sr. NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Deebo Samuel Sr.. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
33.3%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 5
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -102
Projection4.1
Model win47.4%
No-vig edge+0.2%
Model-implied EV-6.1%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 31.5
OVER 31.5 -114
Projection57.3
Model win72.3%
No-vig edge+22.3%
Model-implied EV+35.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
25.8 above line
Market 31.5
PDR 57.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 57.3 is 25.8 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 72.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.3% model win, +22.3% no-vig edge, and +35.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +142
Projection4.1
Model win46.3%
No-vig edge+7.7%
Model-implied EV+12.0%
No-vig market38.6%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 32.5
OVER 32.5 -114
Projection54.2
Model win65.5%
No-vig edge+15.5%
Model-implied EV+22.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.7 above line
Market 32.5
PDR 54.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 54.2 is 21.7 above the 32.5 line.
Model win probability 65.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.5% model win, +15.5% no-vig edge, and +22.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks | Receiving yards | OVER 31.5 | 72.3% | +22.3% | +35.7% | LOSS · 21 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers | Receiving yards | OVER 32.5 | 65.5% | +15.5% | +22.9% | LOSS · 31 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | OVER 29.5 | 68.7% | +18.7% | +29.0% | WIN · 48 receiving yards | Game |