Published Record
1-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Marvin Mims Jr. NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Marvin Mims Jr.. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 2.7Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 16.5
Projection 25.0Cleared line 50%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Sun, Nov 1, 2:25 PM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 1.5
Model side: OVER -162
Projection2.7
Model win56.5%
No-vig edge-1.4%
Model-implied EV-8.7%
No-vig market57.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 16.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection25.0
Model win45.2%
No-vig edge-4.8%
Model-implied EV-14.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Oct 25, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -122
Projection3.8
Model win78.2%
No-vig edge+26.6%
Model-implied EV+42.3%
No-vig market51.6%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.3 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.8 is 2.3 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 78.2% vs 51.6% no-vig market probability creates a +26.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 78.2% model win, +26.6% no-vig edge, and +42.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 12.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection28.6
Model win57.2%
No-vig edge+7.2%
Model-implied EV+7.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 78.2% | +26.6% | +42.3% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |