Published Record
1-4-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Tyjae Spears NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Tyjae Spears. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
20.0%
Published Plays
5
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 6
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 12.5
OVER 12.5 -114
Projection41.1
Model win74.4%
No-vig edge+24.4%
Model-implied EV+39.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.6 above line
Market 12.5
PDR 41.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 41.1 is 28.6 above the 12.5 line.
Model win probability 74.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.4% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 74.4% model win, +24.4% no-vig edge, and +39.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +102
Projection3.6
Model win54.9%
No-vig edge+8.7%
Model-implied EV+10.8%
No-vig market46.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 14.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection19.0
Model win39.3%
No-vig edge-10.7%
Model-implied EV-26.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 14.5
OVER 14.5 -114
Projection34.1
Model win61.6%
No-vig edge+11.6%
Model-implied EV+15.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.6 above line
Market 14.5
PDR 34.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 34.1 is 19.6 above the 14.5 line.
Model win probability 61.6% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +11.6% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 61.6% model win, +11.6% no-vig edge, and +15.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -182
Projection3.7
Model win75.9%
No-vig edge+15.5%
Model-implied EV+17.5%
No-vig market60.4%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.2 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.7 is 2.2 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 75.9% vs 60.4% no-vig market probability creates a +15.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.9% model win, +15.5% no-vig edge, and +17.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 9.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection25.2
Model win57.0%
No-vig edge+7.0%
Model-implied EV+7.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 15.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection28.6
Model win53.0%
No-vig edge+3.0%
Model-implied EV-0.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 19.5
OVER 19.5 -114
Projection37.2
Model win59.3%
No-vig edge+9.3%
Model-implied EV+11.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.7 above line
Market 19.5
PDR 37.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 37.2 is 17.7 above the 19.5 line.
Model win probability 59.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.3% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 59.3% model win, +9.3% no-vig edge, and +11.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | Rushing yards | OVER 12.5 | 74.4% | +24.4% | +39.6% | LOSS · 1 rushing yard | Game |
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Rushing yards | OVER 14.5 | 61.6% | +11.6% | +15.6% | LOSS · 0 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 75.9% | +15.5% | +17.5% | WIN · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 3 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Rushing yards | OVER 19.5 | 59.3% | +9.3% | +11.3% | LOSS · 5 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans | Rushing yards | OVER 22.5 | 61.6% | +11.6% | +15.6% | LOSS · 12 rushing yards | Game |