Published Record
4-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Khalil Shakir NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Khalil Shakir. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 3.5
Projection 5.0Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 41.5
Projection 59.5Cleared line 60%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -154
Projection5.0
Model win62.7%
No-vig edge+6.0%
Model-implied EV+3.4%
No-vig market56.7%
Samples2154
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 41.5
OVER 41.5 -113
Projection59.5
Model win60.0%
No-vig edge+10.0%
Model-implied EV+13.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
18.0 above line
Market 41.5
PDR 59.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 59.5 is 18.0 above the 41.5 line.
Model win probability 60.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +10.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 60.0% model win, +10.0% no-vig edge, and +13.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -148
Projection4.3
Model win49.2%
No-vig edge-6.6%
Model-implied EV-17.5%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 39.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection42.9
Model win37.6%
No-vig edge-12.4%
Model-implied EV-29.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
Thu, Sep 17, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -136
Projection4.0
Model win71.5%
No-vig edge+17.8%
Model-implied EV+24.1%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.5 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.0 is 0.5 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 71.5% vs 53.8% no-vig market probability creates a +17.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.5% model win, +17.8% no-vig edge, and +24.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 44.5
UNDER 44.5 -114
Projection38.2
Model win72.7%
No-vig edge+22.7%
Model-implied EV+36.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
6.3 below line
Market 44.5
PDR 38.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 38.2 is 6.3 below the 44.5 line.
Model win probability 72.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.7% model win, +22.7% no-vig edge, and +36.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | OVER 41.5 | 60.0% | +10.0% | +13.1% | WIN · 64 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 71.5% | +17.8% | +24.1% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 44.5 | 72.7% | +22.7% | +36.6% | WIN · 38 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Receiving yards | OVER 36.5 | 58.7% | +8.7% | +10.2% | WIN · 50 receiving yards | Game |