Published Record
1-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
John Metchie III NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for John Metchie III. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 1.5
Projection 3.7Cleared line 100%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 15.5
Projection 39.6Cleared line 0%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Thu, Oct 29, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -130
Projection3.7
Model win76.0%
No-vig edge+23.2%
Model-implied EV+34.5%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.2 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 3.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 3.7 is 2.2 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 76.0% vs 52.8% no-vig market probability creates a +23.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 76.0% model win, +23.2% no-vig edge, and +34.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 15.5
OVER 15.5 -114
Projection39.6
Model win69.5%
No-vig edge+19.5%
Model-implied EV+30.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
24.1 above line
Market 15.5
PDR 39.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 39.6 is 24.1 above the 15.5 line.
Model win probability 69.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +19.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.5% model win, +19.5% no-vig edge, and +30.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.