Published Record
2-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Marcus Mariota NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Marcus Mariota. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 4
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 4, 8:30 AM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Passing TDs
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
UNDER 1.5 -200
Projection0.8
Model win71.1%
No-vig edge+8.8%
Model-implied EV+6.7%
No-vig market62.3%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 1.5
PDR 0.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 0.8 is 0.7 below the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 71.1% vs 62.3% no-vig market probability creates a +8.8% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 71.1% model win, +8.8% no-vig edge, and +6.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Passing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 212.5
UNDER 212.5 -114
Projection186.2
Model win63.2%
No-vig edge+13.2%
Model-implied EV+18.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.3 below line
Market 212.5
PDR 186.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 186.2 is 26.3 below the 212.5 line.
Model win probability 63.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.2% edge.
Qualified with 516 residual samples, 63.2% model win, +13.2% no-vig edge, and +18.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Passing TDs
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 0.5
Model side: OVER -210
Projection0.8
Model win56.0%
No-vig edge-7.2%
Model-implied EV-17.3%
No-vig market63.2%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Passing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 172.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection176.5
Model win51.4%
No-vig edge+1.4%
Model-implied EV-3.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples516
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.