Published Record
4-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Davante Adams NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Davante Adams. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
80.0%
Published Plays
5
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 6
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Sun, Oct 18, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER +102
Projection4.6
Model win37.4%
No-vig edge-8.8%
Model-implied EV-24.5%
No-vig market46.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 58.5
UNDER 58.5 -114
Projection49.6
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+24.7%
Model-implied EV+40.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
8.9 below line
Market 58.5
PDR 49.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 49.6 is 8.9 below the 58.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +24.7% no-vig edge, and +40.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Oct 12, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -144
Projection4.1
Model win70.8%
No-vig edge+15.7%
Model-implied EV+20.0%
No-vig market55.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.4 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.1 is 0.4 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 70.8% vs 55.1% no-vig market probability creates a +15.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.8% model win, +15.7% no-vig edge, and +20.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 62.5
UNDER 62.5 -114
Projection46.6
Model win80.1%
No-vig edge+30.1%
Model-implied EV+50.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
15.9 below line
Market 62.5
PDR 46.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 46.6 is 15.9 below the 62.5 line.
Model win probability 80.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +30.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.1% model win, +30.1% no-vig edge, and +50.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -148
Projection4.0
Model win82.8%
No-vig edge+26.9%
Model-implied EV+38.7%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.5 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.0 is 1.5 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 82.8% vs 55.9% no-vig market probability creates a +26.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 82.8% model win, +26.9% no-vig edge, and +38.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 74.5
UNDER 74.5 -114
Projection55.5
Model win82.7%
No-vig edge+32.7%
Model-implied EV+55.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.0 below line
Market 74.5
PDR 55.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 55.5 is 19.0 below the 74.5 line.
Model win probability 82.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +32.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 82.7% model win, +32.7% no-vig edge, and +55.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -136
Projection4.3
Model win50.3%
No-vig edge-3.5%
Model-implied EV-12.8%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 44.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection55.0
Model win48.6%
No-vig edge-1.4%
Model-implied EV-8.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | UNDER 58.5 | 74.7% | +24.7% | +40.2% | WIN · 39 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 70.8% | +15.7% | +20.0% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams | Receiving yards | UNDER 62.5 | 80.1% | +30.1% | +50.3% | WIN · 51 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 82.8% | +26.9% | +38.7% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving yards | UNDER 74.5 | 82.7% | +32.7% | +55.2% | WIN · 32 receiving yards | Game |