Published Record
1-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Mike Evans NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Mike Evans. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 6
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
Mon, Oct 19, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -102
Projection4.0
Model win82.3%
No-vig edge+35.1%
Model-implied EV+63.0%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.5 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.0 is 1.5 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 82.3% vs 47.2% no-vig market probability creates a +35.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 82.3% model win, +35.1% no-vig edge, and +63.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 73.5
UNDER 73.5 -114
Projection52.9
Model win83.8%
No-vig edge+33.8%
Model-implied EV+57.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
20.6 below line
Market 73.5
PDR 52.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 52.9 is 20.6 below the 73.5 line.
Model win probability 83.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +33.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 83.8% model win, +33.8% no-vig edge, and +57.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -180
Projection4.2
Model win49.1%
No-vig edge-11.0%
Model-implied EV-23.6%
No-vig market60.1%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 48.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection58.6
Model win47.8%
No-vig edge-2.2%
Model-implied EV-10.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection4.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge-1.8%
Model-implied EV-9.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 47.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection55.5
Model win44.2%
No-vig edge-5.8%
Model-implied EV-16.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.