Published Record
1-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Terry McLaurin NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Terry McLaurin. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
6
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 4
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Oct 4, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -112
Projection4.5
Model win63.7%
No-vig edge+14.3%
Model-implied EV+20.6%
No-vig market49.4%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.0 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.5
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.5 is 0.0 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 63.7% vs 49.4% no-vig market probability creates a +14.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 63.7% model win, +14.3% no-vig edge, and +20.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 55.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.3
Model win51.6%
No-vig edge+1.6%
Model-implied EV-3.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +100
Projection4.5
Model win52.5%
No-vig edge+5.7%
Model-implied EV+5.0%
No-vig market46.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 42.5
OVER 42.5 -114
Projection68.7
Model win72.7%
No-vig edge+22.7%
Model-implied EV+36.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
26.2 above line
Market 42.5
PDR 68.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 68.7 is 26.2 above the 42.5 line.
Model win probability 72.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +22.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 72.7% model win, +22.7% no-vig edge, and +36.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -172
Projection4.5
Model win53.6%
No-vig edge-5.5%
Model-implied EV-15.3%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 51.5
OVER 51.5 -114
Projection69.1
Model win59.5%
No-vig edge+9.5%
Model-implied EV+11.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.6 above line
Market 51.5
PDR 69.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 69.1 is 17.6 above the 51.5 line.
Model win probability 59.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +9.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 59.5% model win, +9.5% no-vig edge, and +11.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 | Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 63.7% | +14.3% | +20.6% | VOID | Game |
| Week 3 | Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders | Receiving yards | OVER 42.5 | 72.7% | +22.7% | +36.5% | WIN · 77 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 2 | Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | OVER 51.5 | 59.5% | +9.5% | +11.6% | LOSS · 50 receiving yards | Game |