Published Record
4-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Juwan Johnson NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Juwan Johnson. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
80.0%
Published Plays
5
Modeled Lines Stored
10
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 25, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -122
Projection4.1
Model win47.3%
No-vig edge-4.2%
Model-implied EV-14.0%
No-vig market51.4%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 32.5
OVER 32.5 -114
Projection55.2
Model win66.9%
No-vig edge+16.9%
Model-implied EV+25.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
22.7 above line
Market 32.5
PDR 55.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 55.2 is 22.7 above the 32.5 line.
Model win probability 66.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.9% model win, +16.9% no-vig edge, and +25.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER +102
Projection4.6
Model win37.4%
No-vig edge-8.8%
Model-implied EV-24.5%
No-vig market46.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 42.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection58.6
Model win57.2%
No-vig edge+7.2%
Model-implied EV+7.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -136
Projection3.3
Model win79.2%
No-vig edge+25.4%
Model-implied EV+37.4%
No-vig market53.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.2 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 3.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.3 is 1.2 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 79.2% vs 53.8% no-vig market probability creates a +25.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 79.2% model win, +25.4% no-vig edge, and +37.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 42.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection44.6
Model win36.2%
No-vig edge-13.8%
Model-implied EV-32.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
OVER 3.5 +104
Projection4.8
Model win58.2%
No-vig edge+12.4%
Model-implied EV+18.7%
No-vig market45.8%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.3 above line
Market 3.5
PDR 4.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.8 is 1.3 above the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 58.2% vs 45.8% no-vig market probability creates a +12.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 58.2% model win, +12.4% no-vig edge, and +18.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 38.5
OVER 38.5 -114
Projection64.0
Model win71.8%
No-vig edge+21.8%
Model-implied EV+34.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
25.5 above line
Market 38.5
PDR 64.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 64.0 is 25.5 above the 38.5 line.
Model win probability 71.8% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.8% model win, +21.8% no-vig edge, and +34.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -102
Projection4.2
Model win48.9%
No-vig edge+1.7%
Model-implied EV-3.1%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 35.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection51.4
Model win57.1%
No-vig edge+7.1%
Model-implied EV+7.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | OVER 32.5 | 66.9% | +16.9% | +25.7% | LOSS · 7 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 79.2% | +25.4% | +37.4% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | OVER 3.5 | 58.2% | +12.4% | +18.7% | WIN · 6 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | OVER 38.5 | 71.8% | +21.8% | +34.8% | WIN · 59 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions | Receiving yards | OVER 42.5 | 58.8% | +8.8% | +10.3% | WIN · 54 receiving yards | Game |