Published Record
2-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Cooper Kupp NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Cooper Kupp. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
50.0%
Published Plays
5
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 2.5
Projection 3.8Cleared line 29%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 29.5
Projection 51.9Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Mon, Nov 2, 6:15 PM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -160
Projection3.8
Model win59.2%
No-vig edge+1.7%
Model-implied EV-3.7%
No-vig market57.5%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 29.5
OVER 29.5 -114
Projection51.9
Model win66.4%
No-vig edge+16.4%
Model-implied EV+24.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
22.4 above line
Market 29.5
PDR 51.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 51.9 is 22.4 above the 29.5 line.
Model win probability 66.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.4% model win, +16.4% no-vig edge, and +24.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 25, 7:20 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +106
Projection2.7
Model win39.6%
No-vig edge-5.8%
Model-implied EV-18.3%
No-vig market45.4%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 25.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection35.0
Model win46.7%
No-vig edge-3.3%
Model-implied EV-12.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Thu, Oct 15, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +116
Projection3.4
Model win50.9%
No-vig edge+7.6%
Model-implied EV+9.9%
No-vig market43.3%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 20.5
OVER 20.5 -114
Projection41.2
Model win63.5%
No-vig edge+13.5%
Model-implied EV+19.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
20.7 above line
Market 20.5
PDR 41.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 41.2 is 20.7 above the 20.5 line.
Model win probability 63.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 63.5% model win, +13.5% no-vig edge, and +19.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -108
Projection3.7
Model win56.5%
No-vig edge+7.9%
Model-implied EV+8.7%
No-vig market48.6%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 25.5
OVER 25.5 -114
Projection52.8
Model win74.4%
No-vig edge+24.4%
Model-implied EV+39.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
27.3 above line
Market 25.5
PDR 52.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.8 is 27.3 above the 25.5 line.
Model win probability 74.4% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +24.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.4% model win, +24.4% no-vig edge, and +39.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +110
Projection3.1
Model win47.5%
No-vig edge+3.0%
Model-implied EV-0.2%
No-vig market44.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 25.5
OVER 25.5 -114
Projection45.9
Model win63.3%
No-vig edge+13.3%
Model-implied EV+18.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
20.4 above line
Market 25.5
PDR 45.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 45.9 is 20.4 above the 25.5 line.
Model win probability 63.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +13.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 63.3% model win, +13.3% no-vig edge, and +18.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER +124
Projection3.4
Model win51.6%
No-vig edge+9.9%
Model-implied EV+15.5%
No-vig market41.7%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 21.5
OVER 21.5 -114
Projection44.1
Model win66.9%
No-vig edge+16.9%
Model-implied EV+25.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
22.6 above line
Market 21.5
PDR 44.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 44.1 is 22.6 above the 21.5 line.
Model win probability 66.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.9% model win, +16.9% no-vig edge, and +25.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks | Receiving yards | OVER 29.5 | 66.4% | +16.4% | +24.6% | Pending | Game |
| Week 6 | Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos | Receiving yards | OVER 20.5 | 63.5% | +13.5% | +19.2% | WIN · 50 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks | Receiving yards | OVER 25.5 | 74.4% | +24.4% | +39.7% | LOSS · 15 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks | Receiving yards | OVER 25.5 | 63.3% | +13.3% | +18.8% | LOSS · 13 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders | Receiving yards | OVER 21.5 | 66.9% | +16.9% | +25.6% | WIN · 46 receiving yards | Game |