Published Record
5-6-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Drake London NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Drake London. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
45.5%
Published Plays
11
Modeled Lines Stored
14
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · UNDER 6.5
Projection 4.4Cleared line 63%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · UNDER 79.5
Projection 66.9Cleared line 63%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -138
Projection4.4
Model win89.0%
No-vig edge+34.8%
Model-implied EV+53.5%
No-vig market54.2%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.1 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.4 is 2.1 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 89.0% vs 54.2% no-vig market probability creates a +34.8% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 89.0% model win, +34.8% no-vig edge, and +53.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 79.5
UNDER 79.5 -113
Projection66.9
Model win77.5%
No-vig edge+27.5%
Model-implied EV+46.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
12.6 below line
Market 79.5
PDR 66.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 66.9 is 12.6 below the 79.5 line.
Model win probability 77.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +27.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.5% model win, +27.5% no-vig edge, and +46.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -114
Projection5.1
Model win71.0%
No-vig edge+21.0%
Model-implied EV+33.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.4 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 5.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.1 is 0.4 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 71.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +21.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 71.0% model win, +21.0% no-vig edge, and +33.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 76.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection77.2
Model win34.3%
No-vig edge-15.7%
Model-implied EV-35.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -166
Projection5.2
Model win80.3%
No-vig edge+22.0%
Model-implied EV+28.6%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.3 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 5.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.2 is 1.3 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 80.3% vs 58.3% no-vig market probability creates a +22.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 80.3% model win, +22.0% no-vig edge, and +28.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 88.5
UNDER 88.5 -114
Projection76.7
Model win77.1%
No-vig edge+27.1%
Model-implied EV+44.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
11.8 below line
Market 88.5
PDR 76.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 76.7 is 11.8 below the 88.5 line.
Model win probability 77.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +27.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.1% model win, +27.1% no-vig edge, and +44.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Oct 11, 7:20 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 6.5
UNDER 6.5 -174
Projection5.0
Model win83.0%
No-vig edge+23.6%
Model-implied EV+30.6%
No-vig market59.4%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.5 below line
Market 6.5
PDR 5.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 5.0 is 1.5 below the 6.5 line.
Model win probability 83.0% vs 59.4% no-vig market probability creates a +23.6% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 83.0% model win, +23.6% no-vig edge, and +30.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 82.5
UNDER 82.5 -114
Projection75.4
Model win73.2%
No-vig edge+23.2%
Model-implied EV+37.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
7.1 below line
Market 82.5
PDR 75.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 75.4 is 7.1 below the 82.5 line.
Model win probability 73.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +23.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.2% model win, +23.2% no-vig edge, and +37.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +112
Projection4.4
Model win65.6%
No-vig edge+21.5%
Model-implied EV+39.2%
No-vig market44.1%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.4 is 0.1 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 65.6% vs 44.1% no-vig market probability creates a +21.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.6% model win, +21.5% no-vig edge, and +39.2% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 67.5
UNDER 67.5 -114
Projection64.1
Model win70.1%
No-vig edge+20.1%
Model-implied EV+31.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
3.4 below line
Market 67.5
PDR 64.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 64.1 is 3.4 below the 67.5 line.
Model win probability 70.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.1% model win, +20.1% no-vig edge, and +31.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
Thu, Sep 24, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -140
Projection4.8
Model win74.7%
No-vig edge+20.1%
Model-implied EV+28.0%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.7 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.8 is 0.7 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 74.7% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +20.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 74.7% model win, +20.1% no-vig edge, and +28.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 65.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection68.1
Model win36.8%
No-vig edge-13.2%
Model-implied EV-31.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -132
Projection4.7
Model win38.6%
No-vig edge-14.6%
Model-implied EV-32.1%
No-vig market53.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 56.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection59.4
Model win37.2%
No-vig edge-12.8%
Model-implied EV-30.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 89.0% | +34.8% | +53.5% | WIN · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 8 | Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving yards | UNDER 79.5 | 77.5% | +27.5% | +46.1% | WIN · 8 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 7 | San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 71.0% | +21.0% | +33.3% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 80.3% | +22.0% | +28.6% | WIN · 4 receptions | Game |
| Week 6 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | Receiving yards | UNDER 88.5 | 77.1% | +27.1% | +44.7% | WIN · 62 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons | Receptions | UNDER 6.5 | 83.0% | +23.6% | +30.6% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons | Receiving yards | UNDER 82.5 | 73.2% | +23.2% | +37.4% | LOSS · 118 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 65.6% | +21.5% | +39.2% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | UNDER 67.5 | 70.1% | +20.1% | +31.6% | LOSS · 96 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 74.7% | +20.1% | +28.0% | LOSS · 9 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 78.1% | +30.0% | +51.8% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |