Published Record
3-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Javonte Williams NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Javonte Williams. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
75.0%
Published Plays
4
Modeled Lines Stored
7
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · UNDER 76.5
Projection 71.8Cleared line 75%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 76.5
UNDER 76.5 -113
Projection71.8
Model win68.2%
No-vig edge+18.2%
Model-implied EV+28.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
4.7 below line
Market 76.5
PDR 71.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 71.8 is 4.7 below the 76.5 line.
Model win probability 68.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +18.2% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 68.2% model win, +18.2% no-vig edge, and +28.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 7
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Mon, Oct 26, 7:15 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 66.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection66.9
Model win37.4%
No-vig edge-12.6%
Model-implied EV-29.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 6
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Sun, Oct 18, 7:20 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 70.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection83.7
Model win53.5%
No-vig edge+3.5%
Model-implied EV+0.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 73.5
UNDER 73.5 -114
Projection59.8
Model win75.9%
No-vig edge+25.9%
Model-implied EV+42.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
13.7 below line
Market 73.5
PDR 59.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 59.8 is 13.7 below the 73.5 line.
Model win probability 75.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 75.9% model win, +25.9% no-vig edge, and +42.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 60.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection63.7
Model win41.2%
No-vig edge-8.8%
Model-implied EV-22.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 58.5
UNDER 58.5 -114
Projection58.4
Model win62.7%
No-vig edge+12.7%
Model-implied EV+17.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 58.5
PDR 58.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 58.4 is 0.1 below the 58.5 line.
Model win probability 62.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +12.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 62.7% model win, +12.7% no-vig edge, and +17.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 2
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 72.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection78.0
Model win43.3%
No-vig edge-6.7%
Model-implied EV-18.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys | Rushing yards | UNDER 76.5 | 68.2% | +18.2% | +28.6% | WIN · 56 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Rushing yards | UNDER 73.5 | 75.9% | +25.9% | +42.4% | WIN · 45 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 3 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | Rushing yards | UNDER 58.5 | 62.7% | +12.7% | +17.7% | LOSS · 98 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Rushing yards | UNDER 73.5 | 69.8% | +19.8% | +31.1% | WIN · 41 rushing yards | Game |