Published Record
4-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Parker Washington NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Parker Washington. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
66.7%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 4.5
Projection 5.1Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 67.5
Projection 84.6Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -138
Projection5.1
Model win46.8%
No-vig edge-7.3%
Model-implied EV-19.2%
No-vig market54.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 67.5
OVER 67.5 -113
Projection84.6
Model win58.5%
No-vig edge+8.5%
Model-implied EV+10.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
17.1 above line
Market 67.5
PDR 84.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 84.6 is 17.1 above the 67.5 line.
Model win probability 58.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +8.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 58.5% model win, +8.5% no-vig edge, and +10.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Oct 18, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -120
Projection4.5
Model win36.4%
No-vig edge-14.6%
Model-implied EV-33.3%
No-vig market51.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 61.5
OVER 61.5 -114
Projection83.4
Model win66.0%
No-vig edge+16.0%
Model-implied EV+23.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.9 above line
Market 61.5
PDR 83.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 83.4 is 21.9 above the 61.5 line.
Model win probability 66.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +16.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 66.0% model win, +16.0% no-vig edge, and +23.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Oct 11, 8:30 AM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -102
Projection4.4
Model win64.5%
No-vig edge+17.3%
Model-implied EV+27.7%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.4 is 0.1 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 64.5% vs 47.2% no-vig market probability creates a +17.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.5% model win, +17.3% no-vig edge, and +27.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 60.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection76.4
Model win57.1%
No-vig edge+7.1%
Model-implied EV+7.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 5.5
UNDER 5.5 -140
Projection4.6
Model win77.5%
No-vig edge+22.9%
Model-implied EV+32.8%
No-vig market54.6%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.9 below line
Market 5.5
PDR 4.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.6 is 0.9 below the 5.5 line.
Model win probability 77.5% vs 54.6% no-vig market probability creates a +22.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 77.5% model win, +22.9% no-vig edge, and +32.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 72.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection77.2
Model win39.6%
No-vig edge-10.4%
Model-implied EV-25.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER -148
Projection4.6
Model win38.0%
No-vig edge-17.9%
Model-implied EV-36.4%
No-vig market55.9%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 61.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection73.6
Model win50.8%
No-vig edge+0.8%
Model-implied EV-4.7%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos
Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: OVER +118
Projection4.9
Model win43.8%
No-vig edge+1.0%
Model-implied EV-4.5%
No-vig market42.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 49.5
OVER 49.5 -114
Projection77.9
Model win75.9%
No-vig edge+25.9%
Model-implied EV+42.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.4 above line
Market 49.5
PDR 77.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 77.9 is 28.4 above the 49.5 line.
Model win probability 75.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.9% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.9% model win, +25.9% no-vig edge, and +42.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 | Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving yards | OVER 67.5 | 58.5% | +8.5% | +10.3% | LOSS · 16 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 6 | Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving yards | OVER 61.5 | 66.0% | +16.0% | +23.8% | WIN · 64 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 64.5% | +17.3% | +27.7% | LOSS · 6 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 77.5% | +22.9% | +32.8% | WIN · 1 reception | Game |
| Week 2 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos | Receiving yards | OVER 49.5 | 75.9% | +25.9% | +42.5% | WIN · 98 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 1 | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Receiving yards | OVER 51.5 | 61.5% | +11.5% | +15.5% | WIN · 83 receiving yards | Game |