Published Record
1-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Nico Collins NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Nico Collins. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
33.3%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
2
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 +104
Projection4.2
Model win68.0%
No-vig edge+22.2%
Model-implied EV+38.7%
No-vig market45.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.3 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.2 is 0.3 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 68.0% vs 45.8% no-vig market probability creates a +22.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 68.0% model win, +22.2% no-vig edge, and +38.7% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 68.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection72.2
Model win38.2%
No-vig edge-11.8%
Model-implied EV-28.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 68.0% | +22.2% | +38.7% | WIN · 2 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Receptions | UNDER 5.5 | 81.4% | +27.6% | +41.3% | LOSS · 7 receptions | Game |
| Week 1 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Receiving yards | UNDER 69.5 | 70.1% | +20.1% | +31.6% | LOSS · 75 receiving yards | Game |