Published Record
0-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Mack Hollins NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Mack Hollins. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
0.0%
Published Plays
1
Modeled Lines Stored
4
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 4
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -130
Projection4.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge-4.6%
Model-implied EV-14.7%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 43.5
UNDER 43.5 -114
Projection42.9
Model win67.3%
No-vig edge+17.3%
Model-implied EV+26.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 43.5
PDR 42.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 42.9 is 0.6 below the 43.5 line.
Model win probability 67.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +17.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 67.3% model win, +17.3% no-vig edge, and +26.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 2.5
Model side: OVER -172
Projection3.9
Model win60.3%
No-vig edge+1.3%
Model-implied EV-4.6%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
No-vig market edge did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 33.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection47.9
Model win54.5%
No-vig edge+4.5%
Model-implied EV+2.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | Receiving yards | UNDER 43.5 | 67.3% | +17.3% | +26.4% | LOSS · 53 receiving yards | Game |