Published Record
2-1-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Kenneth Gainwell NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Kenneth Gainwell. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
66.7%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
3
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
3 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 12.5
OVER 12.5 -114
Projection51.0
Model win86.1%
No-vig edge+36.1%
Model-implied EV+61.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
38.5 above line
Market 12.5
PDR 51.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 51.0 is 38.5 above the 12.5 line.
Model win probability 86.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +36.1% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 86.1% model win, +36.1% no-vig edge, and +61.5% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 1.5
OVER 1.5 -172
Projection5.0
Model win94.4%
No-vig edge+35.4%
Model-implied EV+49.3%
No-vig market59.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
3.5 above line
Market 1.5
PDR 5.0
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 5.0 is 3.5 above the 1.5 line.
Model win probability 94.4% vs 59.0% no-vig market probability creates a +35.4% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 94.4% model win, +35.4% no-vig edge, and +49.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 10.5
OVER 10.5 -114
Projection38.1
Model win75.1%
No-vig edge+25.1%
Model-implied EV+40.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
27.6 above line
Market 10.5
PDR 38.1
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 38.1 is 27.6 above the 10.5 line.
Model win probability 75.1% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.1% model win, +25.1% no-vig edge, and +40.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Rushing yards | OVER 12.5 | 86.1% | +36.1% | +61.5% | WIN · 18 rushing yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Receptions | OVER 1.5 | 94.4% | +35.4% | +49.3% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | OVER 10.5 | 75.1% | +25.1% | +40.9% | LOSS · 10 receiving yards | Game |