Published Record
3-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Ryan Flournoy NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Ryan Flournoy. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
3
Modeled Lines Stored
8
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 3.5
Projection 4.7Cleared line 43%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 36.5
Projection 47.8Cleared line 57%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
Like one of these props? Turn the take into a challenge with friends on Buffet Bets.
Challenge a friend →
Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +106
Projection4.7
Model win56.0%
No-vig edge+10.6%
Model-implied EV+15.4%
No-vig market45.4%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 36.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection47.8
Model win49.8%
No-vig edge-0.2%
Model-implied EV-6.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Mon, Oct 26, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +100
Projection3.9
Model win44.0%
No-vig edge-2.8%
Model-implied EV-12.1%
No-vig market46.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 32.5
OVER 32.5 -114
Projection52.2
Model win62.3%
No-vig edge+12.3%
Model-implied EV+17.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.7 above line
Market 32.5
PDR 52.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.2 is 19.7 above the 32.5 line.
Model win probability 62.3% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +12.3% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 62.3% model win, +12.3% no-vig edge, and +17.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +120
Projection3.9
Model win43.5%
No-vig edge+1.0%
Model-implied EV-4.3%
No-vig market42.5%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 31.5
OVER 31.5 -114
Projection52.9
Model win64.7%
No-vig edge+14.7%
Model-implied EV+21.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
21.4 above line
Market 31.5
PDR 52.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 52.9 is 21.4 above the 31.5 line.
Model win probability 64.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +14.7% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 64.7% model win, +14.7% no-vig edge, and +21.4% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 4
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection4.0
Model win45.7%
No-vig edge-4.3%
Model-implied EV-14.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 35.5
OVER 35.5 -114
Projection59.9
Model win70.2%
No-vig edge+20.2%
Model-implied EV+31.9%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
24.4 above line
Market 35.5
PDR 59.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 59.9 is 24.4 above the 35.5 line.
Model win probability 70.2% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +20.2% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 70.2% model win, +20.2% no-vig edge, and +31.9% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving yards | OVER 32.5 | 62.3% | +12.3% | +17.0% | WIN · 70 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Receiving yards | OVER 31.5 | 64.7% | +14.7% | +21.4% | WIN · 90 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 4 | Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans | Receiving yards | OVER 35.5 | 70.2% | +20.2% | +31.9% | WIN · 37 receiving yards | Game |