Published Record
4-2-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Devaughn Vele NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Devaughn Vele. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
66.7%
Published Plays
6
Modeled Lines Stored
12
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
No current-week research chart is available for this player yet.
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 25, 8:30 AM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -162
Projection4.2
Model win69.3%
No-vig edge+11.5%
Model-implied EV+12.1%
No-vig market57.9%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.3 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.2
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.2 is 0.3 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 69.3% vs 57.9% no-vig market probability creates a +11.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 69.3% model win, +11.5% no-vig edge, and +12.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 41.5
OVER 41.5 -114
Projection60.9
Model win62.0%
No-vig edge+12.0%
Model-implied EV+16.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
19.4 above line
Market 41.5
PDR 60.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 60.9 is 19.4 above the 41.5 line.
Model win probability 62.0% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +12.0% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 62.0% model win, +12.0% no-vig edge, and +16.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 6
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -130
Projection4.4
Model win65.9%
No-vig edge+13.1%
Model-implied EV+16.6%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.1 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 4.4
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 4.4 is 0.1 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 65.9% vs 52.8% no-vig market probability creates a +13.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 65.9% model win, +13.1% no-vig edge, and +16.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 43.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection54.7
Model win49.5%
No-vig edge-0.5%
Model-implied EV-7.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -130
Projection4.0
Model win45.1%
No-vig edge-7.7%
Model-implied EV-20.2%
No-vig market52.8%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 36.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection44.1
Model win43.9%
No-vig edge-6.1%
Model-implied EV-17.6%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 4.5
UNDER 4.5 -166
Projection3.9
Model win73.4%
No-vig edge+15.1%
Model-implied EV+17.6%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.6 below line
Market 4.5
PDR 3.9
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 3.9 is 0.6 below the 4.5 line.
Model win probability 73.4% vs 58.3% no-vig market probability creates a +15.1% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 73.4% model win, +15.1% no-vig edge, and +17.6% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 44.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection51.2
Model win42.0%
No-vig edge-8.0%
Model-implied EV-21.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 3
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints
Sun, Sep 27, 3:25 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 4.5
Model side: UNDER -166
Projection4.5
Model win64.0%
No-vig edge+5.7%
Model-implied EV+2.5%
No-vig market58.3%
Samples2154
Model-implied EV did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 48.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection57.1
Model win45.2%
No-vig edge-4.8%
Model-implied EV-15.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 2
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CDT
2 qualified plays for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Receptions
Qualified
fanduel · Line 3.5
OVER 3.5 -114
Projection4.8
Model win57.5%
No-vig edge+7.5%
Model-implied EV+8.0%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
1.3 above line
Market 3.5
PDR 4.8
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 4.8 is 1.3 above the 3.5 line.
Model win probability 57.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +7.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 57.5% model win, +7.5% no-vig edge, and +8.0% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receiving yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 38.5
OVER 38.5 -114
Projection66.6
Model win75.5%
No-vig edge+25.5%
Model-implied EV+41.8%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Qualified OVER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
28.1 above line
Market 38.5
PDR 66.6
WHY PDR LIKES THE OVER
Projection 66.6 is 28.1 above the 38.5 line.
Model win probability 75.5% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +25.5% edge.
Qualified with 2154 residual samples, 75.5% model win, +25.5% no-vig edge, and +41.8% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.
| Week | Matchup | Market | Pick | Win | Edge | Model-implied EV | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 69.3% | +11.5% | +12.1% | LOSS · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints | Receiving yards | OVER 41.5 | 62.0% | +12.0% | +16.3% | WIN · 54 receiving yards | Game |
| Week 6 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 65.9% | +13.1% | +16.6% | WIN · 3 receptions | Game |
| Week 4 | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Receptions | UNDER 4.5 | 73.4% | +15.1% | +17.6% | LOSS · 6 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens | Receptions | OVER 3.5 | 57.5% | +7.5% | +8.0% | WIN · 5 receptions | Game |
| Week 2 | New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens | Receiving yards | OVER 38.5 | 75.5% | +25.5% | +41.8% | WIN · 64 receiving yards | Game |