Published Record
2-0-0
PLAYER PROFILE
Chase Brown NFL player props & projections
NFL player prop projections, sportsbook lines, model edges, EV, and results for Chase Brown. Browse all players · Week 8 NFL props
2026 PDR published-play results and stored modeled-board lines. Non-qualified lines are shown for context and are not recommendations.
Hit Rate
100.0%
Published Plays
2
Modeled Lines Stored
9
Recent performance vs today's line
Weekly results are shown against today's sportsbook line. PDR's projection is the model signal.
CURRENT WEEK
Rushing yards
fanduel · OVER 58.5
Projection 65.0Cleared line 29%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receptions
fanduel · OVER 3.5
Projection 3.5Cleared line 57%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
CURRENT WEEK
Receiving yards
fanduel · OVER 18.5
Projection 24.9Cleared line 71%
Weekly actualsCurrent linePDR projectionGreen = cleared line · Red = fell short
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Modeled game boards
Stored calibration-board detail. Current coverage begins with the snapshots retained in MODEL_DB.
WEEK 8
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 AM CST
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 58.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection65.0
Model win44.5%
No-vig edge-5.5%
Model-implied EV-16.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER -102
Projection3.5
Model win36.7%
No-vig edge-10.5%
Model-implied EV-27.4%
No-vig market47.2%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 18.5
Model side: OVER -113
Projection24.9
Model win41.8%
No-vig edge-8.2%
Model-implied EV-21.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 7
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun, Oct 25, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 50.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection60.6
Model win48.7%
No-vig edge-1.3%
Model-implied EV-8.5%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
No qualified plays for this game.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
PDR modeled the lines below, but none cleared the publication thresholds.
Rushing yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 67.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection69.0
Model win39.3%
No-vig edge-10.7%
Model-implied EV-26.2%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
WEEK 4
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 66.5
UNDER 66.5 -114
Projection63.7
Model win65.7%
No-vig edge+15.7%
Model-implied EV+23.3%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
2.8 below line
Market 66.5
PDR 63.7
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 63.7 is 2.8 below the 66.5 line.
Model win probability 65.7% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +15.7% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 65.7% model win, +15.7% no-vig edge, and +23.3% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
WEEK 3
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
1 qualified play for this game.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Non-qualified modeled lines are also shown for context.
Rushing yards
Qualified
fanduel · Line 63.5
UNDER 63.5 -114
Projection63.3
Model win62.9%
No-vig edge+12.9%
Model-implied EV+18.1%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples796
Qualified UNDER play.
MODEL VS MARKET
0.2 below line
Market 63.5
PDR 63.3
WHY PDR LIKES THE UNDER
Projection 63.3 is 0.2 below the 63.5 line.
Model win probability 62.9% vs 50.0% no-vig market probability creates a +12.9% edge.
Qualified with 796 residual samples, 62.9% model win, +12.9% no-vig edge, and +18.1% model-implied EV; publication floors are 500 samples, 57.5% win, +5.0% edge, and +5.0% EV.
Receptions
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 3.5
Model side: OVER +106
Projection4.2
Model win48.2%
No-vig edge+2.8%
Model-implied EV-0.6%
No-vig market45.4%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Receiving yards
Did not qualify
fanduel · Line 21.5
Model side: OVER -114
Projection28.6
Model win42.9%
No-vig edge-7.1%
Model-implied EV-19.4%
No-vig market50.0%
Samples2154
Model win probability did not clear the publication floor.
Published qualified history
Only actual PDR recommendations are graded.