NFL WEEK 5

NFL player prop projections & picks
for Week 5.

Compare PDR's model projections with sportsbook lines, implied win probabilities, no-vig edges, and model-implied EV for this week's NFL player props.

15 games118 qualified plays118 graded
Season Record
504-433-0
53.8% hit rate · 20 voids
957 graded · 12 pending
All published qualified plays.
Top 5 Season Record
20-20-0
50.0% hit rate
40 graded · 0 pending
Featured Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Top plays

Frozen pregame model ranking.

#1 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receptions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Thu, Oct 8, 7:15 PM CDT
OVER 1.5
Final: 3 receptions
Win 94.4%Edge +35.4%EV +49.3%
#2 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receiving yards
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 32.5
Final: 53 receiving yards
Win 91.9%Edge +41.9%EV +72.5%
#3 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Receptions
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
UNDER 5.5
Final: 7 receptions
Win 87.0%Edge +31.9%EV +47.4%
#4 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Receptions
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets · Sun, Oct 11, 12:00 PM CDT
UNDER 6.5
Final: 7 receptions
Win 86.7%Edge +34.8%EV +56.1%
#5 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Rushing yards
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals · Sun, Oct 11, 3:25 PM CDT
UNDER 90.5
Final: 151 rushing yards
Win 85.8%Edge +35.8%EV +61.1%

Week 5 games

Status reflects grading.