NFL WEEK 4

NFL player prop projections & picks
for Week 4.

Compare PDR's model projections with sportsbook lines, implied win probabilities, no-vig edges, and model-implied EV for this week's NFL player props.

16 games140 qualified plays140 graded
Season Record
504-433-0
53.8% hit rate · 20 voids
957 graded · 12 pending
All published qualified plays.
Top 5 Season Record
20-20-0
50.0% hit rate
40 graded · 0 pending
Featured Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Top plays

Frozen pregame model ranking.

#1 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Receiving yards
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 38.5
Final: 19 receiving yards
Win 91.3%Edge +41.3%EV +71.4%
#2 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receptions
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints · Mon, Oct 5, 7:15 PM CDT
OVER 2.5
Final: 3 receptions
Win 90.0%Edge +36.2%EV +56.2%
#3 TOP PLAY
WIN
Rushing yards
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers · Sun, Oct 4, 7:20 PM CDT
UNDER 96.5
Final: 46 rushing yards
Win 87.4%Edge +37.4%EV +64.1%
#4 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receiving yards
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers · Sun, Oct 4, 3:25 PM CDT
OVER 20.5
Final: 47 receiving yards
Win 87.2%Edge +37.2%EV +63.8%
#5 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receiving yards
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens · Sun, Oct 4, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 20.5
Final: 22 receiving yards
Win 86.8%Edge +36.8%EV +63.0%

Week 4 games

Status reflects grading.