NFL WEEK 3

NFL player prop projections & picks
for Week 3.

Compare PDR's model projections with sportsbook lines, implied win probabilities, no-vig edges, and model-implied EV for this week's NFL player props.

16 games129 qualified plays129 graded
Season Record
504-433-0
53.8% hit rate · 20 voids
957 graded · 12 pending
All published qualified plays.
Top 5 Season Record
20-20-0
50.0% hit rate
40 graded · 0 pending
Featured Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Top plays

Frozen pregame model ranking.

#1 TOP PLAY
WIN
Receiving yards
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers · Sun, Sep 27, 3:05 PM CDT
OVER 44.5
Final: 89 receiving yards
Win 91.5%Edge +41.5%EV +71.7%
#2 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Receiving yards
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders · Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 34.5
Final: 33 receiving yards
Win 91.5%Edge +41.5%EV +71.7%
#3 TOP PLAY
WIN
Rushing yards
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 20.5
Final: 37 rushing yards
Win 90.8%Edge +40.8%EV +70.5%
#4 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Rushing yards
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears · Mon, Sep 28, 7:15 PM CDT
OVER 12.5
Final: 0 rushing yards
Win 88.2%Edge +38.2%EV +66.2%
#5 TOP PLAY
LOSS
Receiving yards
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants · Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM CDT
OVER 14.5
Final: 0 receiving yards
Win 86.9%Edge +36.9%EV +63.1%

Week 3 games

Status reflects grading.