Prop Drop & Roll
The NBA board Public beta

NBA results.

See how our saved pregame projections compared with final player stats and sportsbook lines.

Sat, Nov 14, 2026Slate dates in Central time
273stat projections graded
80–77DraftKings paper record · wins–losses
-9.49paper units

Top 5 Model Leans

DraftKings · Locked at 5:00 PM CT

4–1–0 paper W–L–P · +2.60 units

  1. Cam SpencerBKN @ MEM
    Under 8.5 assists (-150) Model 5.6Win · Final 8
  2. Davion MitchellDET @ MIA
    Over 8.5 assists (+102) Model 10.2Win · Final 9
  3. Ausar ThompsonDET @ MIA
    Over 7.5 rebounds (+105) Model 9.6Win · Final 8
  4. Nolan TraoréBKN @ MEM
    Over 10.5 points (-116) Model 15.5Win · Final 11
  5. Josh GiddeyCHI @ MIN
    Over 8.5 assists (-116) Model 9.7Loss · Final 5
Saved line times
  • Cam Spencer · Line saved 4:55 PM CT
  • Davion Mitchell · Line saved 4:50 PM CT
  • Ausar Thompson · Line saved 4:50 PM CT
  • Nolan Traoré · Line saved 4:55 PM CT
  • Josh Giddey · Line saved 4:55 PM CT

Model leans for paper tracking.

NBA Top 5 All-Time Record

17–13–0 paper W–L–P · +0.74 units

6 cards · 30 picks · 0 pending · 0 void

All published DraftKings Top 5 cards. Paper units are simulated net profit, with one unit risked per pick at the saved odds.

5 games with saved forecasts · 0 stat projections awaiting an actual · 157 settled paper decisions · 0 pushes · 51.0% on wins and losses

By stat

StatGradedAvg. miss Paper W–L–PUnits
Points91 4.3228–35–0 -10.57
Rebounds91 2.0128–28–0 -4.24
Assists91 1.4324–14–0 +5.32

Points results

Showing 97 of 97 player results

Player / gameProjectionActual Book lineModel sidePaper result
Aaron GordonDEN @ NOP 9.6 11 13.5 Under -112 Win
Bryce HopkinsDEN @ NOP 6.1 Did not play — — —
Cameron JohnsonDEN @ NOP 13.1 12 12.5 Over -121 Loss
Christian BraunDEN @ NOP 12.3 17 11.5 Over -119 Win
DeAndre JordanDEN @ NOP 4.5 Did not play — — —
DeMar DeRozanDEN @ NOP 8.9 9 10.5 Under -123 Win
Derik QueenDEN @ NOP 9.9 10 — — —
Herbert JonesDEN @ NOP 5.9 10 8.5 Under -130 Loss
Jamal MurrayDEN @ NOP 27.1 23 24.5 Over -106 Loss
Jeremiah FearsDEN @ NOP 17.6 13 18.5 Under -111 Win
Jordan PooleDEN @ NOP 8.4 14 10.5 Under -104 Loss
Karlo MatkovicDEN @ NOP 7.8 5 6.5 Over -106 Loss
Marvin Bagley IIIDEN @ NOP 6.3 7 — — —
Nikola JokicDEN @ NOP 24.0 26 26.5 Under -108 Win
Saddiq BeyDEN @ NOP 17.0 16 18.5 Under -107 Win
Spencer JonesDEN @ NOP 5.3 4 — — —
Trevon BrazileDEN @ NOP 6.2 5 — — —
Tyus JonesDEN @ NOP 2.7 2 — — —
Zion WilliamsonDEN @ NOP 22.1 24 20.5 Over -120 Win
Caleb MartinDAL @ CLE 3.8 15 4.5 Under -108 Loss
Cooper FlaggDAL @ CLE 23.6 18 24.5 Under -115 Win
Craig PorterDAL @ CLE 1.8 9 7.5 Under -110 Loss
Daniel GaffordDAL @ CLE 8.4 10 7.5 Over -127 Win
Jaylon TysonDAL @ CLE 9.3 18 15.5 Under -104 Loss
Kyrie IrvingDAL @ CLE 22.1 34 22.5 Under -106 Loss
Marcus SasserDAL @ CLE 3.1 Did not play — — —
Mario HezonjaDAL @ CLE 6.6 22 14.5 Under -118 Loss
Meleek ThomasDAL @ CLE 13.6 20 18.5 Under -109 Loss
Morez JohnsonDAL @ CLE 7.4 4 — — —
Naji MarshallDAL @ CLE 10.2 12 10.5 Under -107 Loss
P.J. WashingtonDAL @ CLE 12.9 10 13.5 Under -124 Win
Santi AldamaDAL @ CLE 8.3 7 7.5 Over -131 Loss
Thomas BryantDAL @ CLE 10.1 19 14.5 Under -124 Loss
Tyrese ProctorDAL @ CLE 10.6 24 15.5 Under -108 Loss
Walter Clayton Jr.DAL @ CLE 8.9 2 — — —
Zaccharie RisacherDAL @ CLE 7.0 5 6.5 Over -104 Loss
Andrew WigginsDET @ MIA 8.2 10 9.5 Under -115 Loss
Ausar ThompsonDET @ MIA 11.3 10 10.5 Over +104 Loss
Bam AdebayoDET @ MIA 22.4 20 17.5 Over -107 Win
Bobby PortisDET @ MIA 5.4 7 6.5 Under -102 Loss
Cade CunninghamDET @ MIA 27.0 33 25.5 Over -115 Win
Daniss JenkinsDET @ MIA 15.2 10 14.5 Over -112 Loss
Davion MitchellDET @ MIA 18.8 15 13.5 Over -119 Win
Dru SmithDET @ MIA 1.7 Did not play — — —
Duncan RobinsonDET @ MIA 18.7 10 15.5 Over -108 Loss
Giannis AntetokounmpoDET @ MIA 27.7 34 28.5 Under -104 Loss
Javonte GreenDET @ MIA 4.2 5 5.5 Under -125 Win
John CollinsDET @ MIA 9.8 8 11.5 Under -113 Win
Kevin HuerterDET @ MIA 11.0 20 9.5 Over -106 Win
Klay ThompsonDET @ MIA 17.9 26 13.5 Over -113 Win
Nikola JovicDET @ MIA 1.6 2 — — —
Paul ReedDET @ MIA 10.9 9 10.5 Over -119 Loss
Ronald Holland IIDET @ MIA 4.8 5 4.5 Over -130 Win
Ryan ConwellDET @ MIA 9.7 9 8.5 Over -102 Win
Tim Hardaway Jr.DET @ MIA 3.5 Did not play — — —
Cam SpencerBKN @ MEM 10.3 17 — — —
Cameron BoozerBKN @ MEM 15.6 15 — — —
Cedric CowardBKN @ MEM 13.4 23 — — —
Chaney JohnsonBKN @ MEM 3.9 1 — — —
Danny WolfBKN @ MEM 10.5 14 10.5 Over -107 Win
Day'Ron SharpeBKN @ MEM 8.7 16 10.5 Under -115 Loss
Egor DeminBKN @ MEM 12.3 11 11.5 Over -123 Loss
GG JacksonBKN @ MEM 6.7 3 — — —
Isaiah StewartBKN @ MEM 12.1 11 — — —
Javon SmallBKN @ MEM 7.8 19 — — —
Jaylen WellsBKN @ MEM 10.8 5 — — —
Josh MinottBKN @ MEM 3.0 0 — — —
Julius RandleBKN @ MEM 18.1 22 22.5 Under -103 Win
Keon EllisBKN @ MEM 4.6 0 — — —
Kris MurrayBKN @ MEM 1.2 3 — — —
Mikel Brown Jr.BKN @ MEM 14.4 6 13.5 Over -122 Loss
Moritz WagnerBKN @ MEM 11.1 10 — — —
Noah ClowneyBKN @ MEM 5.0 15 — — —
Nolan TraoréBKN @ MEM 15.5 11 11.5 Over -101 Loss
Taylor HendricksBKN @ MEM 6.1 22 — — —
Terance MannBKN @ MEM 1.4 2 — — —
Ayo DosunmuCHI @ MIN 19.8 24 18.5 Over -111 Win
Buddy HieldCHI @ MIN 6.3 16 — — —
Isaac OkoroCHI @ MIN 6.9 9 8.5 Under -132 Loss
Jaden McDanielsCHI @ MIN 16.6 18 17.5 Under -121 Loss
Jaylen ClarkCHI @ MIN 7.2 0 — — —
Joan BeringerCHI @ MIN 5.4 2 6.5 Under -123 Win
Jonathan KumingaCHI @ MIN 12.3 11 14.5 Under -128 Win
Jordan HawkinsCHI @ MIN 4.3 Did not play — — —
Josh GiddeyCHI @ MIN 12.8 8 13.5 Under -114 Win
LaMelo BallCHI @ MIN 21.0 19 20.5 Over -114 Loss
Leonard MillerCHI @ MIN 4.2 4 — — —
Matas BuzelisCHI @ MIN 13.7 18 15.5 Under -102 Loss
Nah'Shon HylandCHI @ MIN 11.6 12 — — —
Noa EssengueCHI @ MIN 5.9 0 — — —
Norman PowellCHI @ MIN 21.3 24 20.5 Over -102 Win
Patrick WilliamsCHI @ MIN 8.3 14 8.5 Under -114 Loss
Rudy GobertCHI @ MIN 7.5 1 10.5 Under -133 Win
Terrence Shannon Jr.CHI @ MIN 10.0 14 10.5 Under -107 Loss
Tre JonesCHI @ MIN 9.8 16 9.5 Over -110 Win
Trey LylesCHI @ MIN 6.9 5 5.5 Over -131 Loss
Zach CollinsCHI @ MIN 1.7 8 7.5 Under -102 Loss
How we score results

Average miss is the average absolute difference between the saved projection and the final stat. The paper record uses one unit per decided reference line at the selected book’s saved pregame price. Pushes return the unit. Pending results, voids and lines with no model side are excluded from wins and losses. This is a model evaluation using saved quotes. Outcomes within a slate can be related, and a small sample can swing substantially.