MODEL RESULTS

NFL player prop results & model record.

Every qualified play counts. This page tracks the current weekly slate, the most recently completed week, and the model's season-to-date record.

Week 8 Live Record
78-57-0
57.8% hit rate · 1 void
136 graded · 12 pending
Over 59
Under 89
Total 148
Week 7 Record
59-52-0
53.2% hit rate
Season to Date
504-433-0
53.8% hit rate · 20 voids
957 graded · 12 pending
Top 5 Season Record
20-20-0
50.0% hit rate
40 graded · 0 pending
Top 5 frozen pregame plays from each week.

Week Results

Open a game to see every published qualified prop and its result.

Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers 6-7-0 · 13 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Bryce Young PASS YARDS
UNDER 256.5
Actual 209
WIN
Christian Watson RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 8
LOSS
Christian Watson Receiving Yards
UNDER 71.5
Actual 113
LOSS
Chuba Hubbard RUSH YARDS
UNDER 71.5
Actual 81
LOSS
Jalen Coker RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 2
WIN
Jalen Coker Receiving Yards
UNDER 62.5
Actual 36
WIN
John Metchie III RECEPTIONS
OVER 1.5
Actual 3
WIN
John Metchie III Receiving Yards
OVER 15.5
Actual 14
LOSS
Jordan Love PASS YARDS
UNDER 260.5
Actual 288
LOSS
Tetairoa McMillan RECEPTIONS
UNDER 5.5
Actual 6
LOSS
Tetairoa McMillan Receiving Yards
UNDER 73.5
Actual 58
WIN
Tucker Kraft RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 6
LOSS
Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards
OVER 43.5
Actual 53
WIN
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys 8-3-0 · 11 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Bam Knight RUSH YARDS
OVER 19.5
Actual 8
LOSS
CeeDee Lamb RECEPTIONS
UNDER 6.5
Actual 7
LOSS
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
UNDER 80.5
Actual 58
WIN
Dak Prescott PASS TDS
UNDER 2.5
Actual 1
WIN
Dak Prescott PASS YARDS
UNDER 271.5
Actual 195
WIN
George Pickens Receiving Yards
UNDER 65.5
Actual 48
WIN
Javonte Williams RUSH YARDS
UNDER 76.5
Actual 56
WIN
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
OVER 56.5
Actual 111
WIN
Trey McBride RECEPTIONS
UNDER 7.5
Actual 7
WIN
Trey McBride Receiving Yards
UNDER 71.5
Actual 72
LOSS
Tyler Allgeier RUSH YARDS
OVER 13.5
Actual 147
WIN
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-3-0 · 8 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Bijan Robinson RUSH YARDS
UNDER 80.5
Actual 76
WIN
Bucky Irving RUSH YARDS
UNDER 70.5
Actual 170
LOSS
Chris Godwin Jr. RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 0
WIN
Drake London RECEPTIONSTOP 5 #3Final: 1 reception
UNDER 6.5
Actual 1
WIN
Drake London Receiving Yards
UNDER 79.5
Actual 8
WIN
Kyle Pitts RECEPTIONS
OVER 3.5
Actual 2
LOSS
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
OVER 35.5
Actual 6
LOSS
Michael Penix Jr. PASS YARDS
UNDER 229.5
Actual 125
WIN
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills 10-3-0 · 13 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
DJ Moore RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 4
WIN
Derrick Henry RUSH YARDS
OVER 78.5
Actual 53
LOSS
James Cook RUSH YARDS
UNDER 82.5
Actual 80
WIN
Keon Coleman RECEPTIONS
OVER 2.5
Actual 1
LOSS
Keon Coleman Receiving Yards
OVER 29.5
Actual 4
LOSS
Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
OVER 41.5
Actual 64
WIN
Lamar Jackson PASS YARDS
UNDER 237.5
Actual 0
WIN
Mark Andrews RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 3
WIN
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
UNDER 27.5
Actual 14
WIN
Ray Davis RUSH YARDS
OVER 4.5
Actual 30
WIN
Ty Johnson RUSH YARDS
OVER 1.5
Actual 4
WIN
Zay Flowers RECEPTIONS
UNDER 6.5
Actual 0
WIN
Zay Flowers Receiving Yards
UNDER 82.5
Actual 0
WIN
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers 3-2-0 · 5 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Aaron Rodgers PASS TDS
UNDER 1.5
Actual 0
WIN
Dylan Sampson RUSH YARDS
OVER 11.5
Actual 7
LOSS
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
OVER 21.5
Actual 0
LOSS
Quinshon Judkins RUSH YARDS
UNDER 47.5
Actual 25
WIN
Rico Dowdle RUSH YARDS
OVER 31.5
Actual 56
WIN
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars 4-4-0 · 8 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Brian Thomas Jr. RECEPTIONS
OVER 1.5
Actual 1
LOSS
Brian Thomas Jr. Receiving YardsTOP 5 #1Final: 12 receiving yards
OVER 15.5
Actual 12
LOSS
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RUSH YARDS
OVER 31.5
Actual 41
WIN
Daniel Jones PASS TDS
OVER 0.5
Actual 1
WIN
Keenan Allen RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 7
LOSS
Parker Washington Receiving Yards
OVER 67.5
Actual 16
LOSS
Tyler Warren RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 4
WIN
Tyler Warren Receiving Yards
UNDER 39.5
Actual 18
WIN
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets 3-9-0 · 12 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Adonai Mitchell Receiving Yards
OVER 24.5
Actual 142
WIN
Ashton Jeanty RUSH YARDS
OVER 49.5
Actual 9
LOSS
Ashton Jeanty RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 3
WIN
Ashton Jeanty Receiving Yards
UNDER 27.5
Actual 64
LOSS
Brock Bowers RECEPTIONS
UNDER 5.5
Actual 7
LOSS
Brock Bowers Receiving Yards
UNDER 68.5
Actual 92
LOSS
Garrett Wilson RECEPTIONS
UNDER 5.5
Actual 6
LOSS
Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
UNDER 63.5
Actual 83
LOSS
Geno Smith PASS YARDS
UNDER 225.5
Actual 290
LOSS
Kirk Cousins PASS TDS
UNDER 1.5
Actual 3
LOSS
Kirk Cousins PASS YARDS
UNDER 232.5
Actual 247
LOSS
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
OVER 25.5
Actual 53
WIN
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions 9-2-0 · 11 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Jahmyr Gibbs RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #5Final: 153 rushing yards
UNDER 86.5
Actual 153
LOSS
Jahmyr Gibbs RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 2
WIN
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
UNDER 33.5
Actual 15
WIN
Jared Goff PASS YARDS
UNDER 263.5
Actual 176
WIN
Justin Jefferson RECEPTIONS
UNDER 5.5
Actual 5
WIN
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
UNDER 76.5
Actual 33
WIN
Kyler Murray PASS YARDS
UNDER 221.5
Actual 210
WIN
Sam LaPorta RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 3
WIN
Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
UNDER 49.5
Actual 33
WIN
T.J. Hockenson RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 4
WIN
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
UNDER 38.5
Actual 58
LOSS
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals 3-4-0 · 1 void · 8 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards
OVER 22.5
Actual 10
LOSS
Cam Ward PASS TDS
OVER 0.5
Actual 2
WIN
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
OVER 10.5
Actual 36
WIN
Joe Burrow PASS YARDS
UNDER 272.5
Actual 462
LOSS
Michael Carter RUSH YARDS
OVER 12.5
Actual —
VOID
Tee Higgins RECEPTIONS
UNDER 5.5
Actual 10
LOSS
Tee Higgins Receiving Yards
UNDER 70.5
Actual 155
LOSS
Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards
OVER 48.5
Actual 57
WIN
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams 11-6-0 · 17 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Justin Herbert PASS YARDS
OVER 205.5
Actual 257
WIN
Keaton Mitchell RUSH YARDS
OVER 14.5
Actual 6
LOSS
Kimani Vidal RUSH YARDS
OVER 23.5
Actual 23
LOSS
Kyren Williams RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 1
WIN
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
UNDER 23.5
Actual 3
WIN
Matthew Stafford PASS TDS
OVER 1.5
Actual 1
LOSS
Matthew Stafford PASS YARDS
OVER 248.5
Actual 157
LOSS
Omarion Hampton RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #4Final: 20 rushing yards
OVER 31.5
Actual 20
LOSS
Omarion Hampton RECEPTIONS
OVER 1.5
Actual 2
WIN
Omarion Hampton Receiving Yards
OVER 5.5
Actual 7
WIN
Oronde Gadsden II RECEPTIONS
OVER 1.5
Actual 5
WIN
Oronde Gadsden II Receiving Yards
OVER 15.5
Actual 52
WIN
Puka Nacua RECEPTIONS
UNDER 7.5
Actual 11
LOSS
Quentin Johnston RECEPTIONS
OVER 2.5
Actual 4
WIN
Quentin Johnston Receiving Yards
OVER 33.5
Actual 37
WIN
Tyler Higbee RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 1
WIN
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
UNDER 36.5
Actual 14
WIN
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos 5-6-0 · 11 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
J.K. Dobbins RUSH YARDSTOP 5 #2Final: 13 rushing yards
OVER 30.5
Actual 13
LOSS
Jaylen Waddle RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 3
WIN
Kenneth Walker III RUSH YARDS
UNDER 85.5
Actual 69
WIN
Kenneth Walker III RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 4
LOSS
Rashee Rice RECEPTIONS
OVER 4.5
Actual 7
WIN
Rashee Rice Receiving Yards
OVER 49.5
Actual 53
WIN
Travis Kelce RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 5
LOSS
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
UNDER 46.5
Actual 67
LOSS
Troy Franklin RECEPTIONS
OVER 1.5
Actual 1
LOSS
Troy Franklin Receiving Yards
OVER 14.5
Actual 3
LOSS
Xavier Worthy RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 3
WIN
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins 5-4-0 · 9 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Drake Maye PASS TDS
OVER 1.5
Actual 2
WIN
Drake Maye PASS YARDS
OVER 239.5
Actual 199
LOSS
Greg Dulcich RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 4
LOSS
Hunter Henry RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 3
WIN
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
UNDER 45.5
Actual 30
WIN
Jaylen Wright RUSH YARDS
OVER 13.5
Actual 5
LOSS
Malik Willis PASS YARDS
UNDER 178.5
Actual 211
LOSS
Malik Willis RUSH YARDS
UNDER 33.5
Actual 2
WIN
Rhamondre Stevenson RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 3
WIN
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders 6-4-0 · 10 graded · 0 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
Chig Okonkwo RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual 2
WIN
Chig Okonkwo Receiving Yards
UNDER 32.5
Actual 32
WIN
Dallas Goedert RECEPTIONS
UNDER 4.5
Actual 4
WIN
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
UNDER 45.5
Actual 30
WIN
Jayden Daniels PASS TDS
UNDER 1.5
Actual 1
WIN
Jayden Daniels PASS YARDS
UNDER 198.5
Actual 217
LOSS
Saquon Barkley RUSH YARDS
OVER 52.5
Actual 30
LOSS
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
OVER 42.5
Actual 38
LOSS
Tanner McKee PASS TDS
UNDER 0.5
Actual 0
WIN
Tanner McKee PASS YARDS
UNDER 204.5
Actual 212
LOSS
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks 12 plays · 12 pending
Player / Market Pick Actual Result
AJ Barner RECEPTIONS
UNDER 3.5
Actual —
PENDING
Caleb Williams PASS TDS
OVER 1.5
Actual —
PENDING
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
OVER 29.5
Actual —
PENDING
D'Andre Swift RUSH YARDS
UNDER 61.5
Actual —
PENDING
Emanuel Wilson RUSH YARDS
OVER 18.5
Actual —
PENDING
Jaxon Smith-Njigba RECEPTIONS
UNDER 7.5
Actual —
PENDING
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
UNDER 99.5
Actual —
PENDING
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
OVER 16.5
Actual —
PENDING
Luther Burden III Receiving Yards
OVER 51.5
Actual —
PENDING
Rome Odunze Receiving Yards
OVER 38.5
Actual —
PENDING
Sam Darnold PASS TDS
UNDER 1.5
Actual —
PENDING
Zach Charbonnet RUSH YARDS
OVER 32.5
Actual —
PENDING

What counts here

Only published qualified OVER and UNDER recommendations count toward the official record. PASS rows do not. Pushes are tracked separately and excluded from hit-rate calculations.

Coming as results accumulate

OVER vs UNDER Separate records and hit rates by recommendation side.
By market Passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown-market performance.
ROI Added after clean archived sportsbook prices and grading are available.
Prop-line trends, not PDR picks. These stats compare PDR's stored Tuesday sportsbook lines with final game results. They describe what players and opponents have done versus those lines; they do not change past recommendations or imply a current OVER or UNDER pick. Through Week 8.

Player prop-line records

Season-to-date OVER / UNDER / PUSH record against PDR's stored Tuesday sportsbook line. Displayed with at least 3 graded decisions.

Kirk Cousins QB · Pass Yards
7-0-0 100.0% OVER · OVER 7
Ashton Jeanty RB · Receiving Yards
6-1-0 85.7% OVER · OVER 6
Jordan Love QB · Pass TDs
6-1-0 85.7% OVER · OVER 2
Kirk Cousins QB · Pass TDs
6-1-0 85.7% OVER · OVER 3
Tony Pollard RB · Rush Yards
6-1-0 85.7% OVER · OVER 3
Tucker Kraft TE · Receptions
6-1-0 85.7% OVER · OVER 6
CeeDee Lamb WR · Receptions
5-2-0 71.4% OVER · OVER 1
Drake Maye QB · Pass TDs
5-2-0 71.4% OVER · OVER 5
Geno Smith QB · Pass Yards
5-2-0 71.4% OVER · OVER 3
Cam Ward QB · Pass TDs
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · OVER 1
Christian Watson WR · Receptions
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · OVER 2
Dak Prescott QB · Pass Yards
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · UNDER 3
Drake London WR · Receptions
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · UNDER 1
Drake Maye QB · Pass Yards
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · UNDER 1
George Pickens WR · Receptions
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · UNDER 2
George Pickens WR · Receiving Yards
4-3-0 57.1% OVER · UNDER 2

Current OVER streaks

Players with at least 3 graded line decisions and 2 straight OVER results.

Kirk Cousins QB · Pass Yards
OVER 7 7/7 OVER · 100.0%
Ashton Jeanty RB · Receiving Yards
OVER 6 6/7 OVER · 85.7%
Tucker Kraft TE · Receptions
OVER 6 6/7 OVER · 85.7%
Rome Odunze WR · Receptions
OVER 5 5/5 OVER · 100.0%
Malik Nabers WR · Receptions
OVER 5 5/6 OVER · 83.3%
Drake Maye QB · Pass TDs
OVER 5 5/7 OVER · 71.4%
Brenton Strange TE · Receiving Yards
OVER 4 4/4 OVER · 100.0%
Ryan Flournoy WR · Receiving Yards
OVER 4 4/4 OVER · 100.0%

Current UNDER streaks

Players with at least 3 graded line decisions and 2 straight UNDER results.

Chase Brown RB · Rush Yards
UNDER 5 0/5 OVER · 0.0%
Baker Mayfield QB · Pass TDs
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Brian Thomas Jr. WR · Receptions
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Brian Thomas Jr. WR · Receiving Yards
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Jaylen Wright RB · Rush Yards
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Justin Jefferson WR · Receptions
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Justin Jefferson WR · Receiving Yards
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%
Troy Franklin WR · Receiving Yards
UNDER 4 0/4 OVER · 0.0%

Opponent OVER rates

Position + market results against each defense. Ranked only with at least 5 graded line decisions; every rate shows its sample size.

TEN vs WR Receptions
8/8 OVER 100.0% · 4/4 recent
ATL vs TE Receptions
6/6 OVER 100.0% · 3/3 recent
DET vs QB Pass TDs
6/6 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent
BAL vs QB Pass Yards
5/5 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent
LV vs RB Rush Yards
5/5 OVER 100.0% · 3/3 recent
MIA vs QB Pass TDs
5/5 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent
NO vs WR Receiving Yards
5/5 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent
NYJ vs QB Pass TDs
5/5 OVER 100.0% · 2/2 recent
ATL vs QB Pass Yards
6/7 OVER 85.7% · 1/2 recent
CLE vs RB Rush Yards
6/7 OVER 85.7% · 3/3 recent
LV vs QB Pass TDs
6/7 OVER 85.7% · 2/2 recent
BUF vs QB Pass Yards
5/6 OVER 83.3% · 1/2 recent
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